Title

Tolls, exchange rates, and borderplex international bridge traffic

Publication Date

6-1-2009

Publication Name

International Journal of Transport Economics

Volume

36

Issue

2

First Page

223

Last Page

259

Document Type

Article

Abstract

Budget constraints are forcing many governments to consider implementing tolls as a means for financing bridge and road expenditures. Newly available time series data make it possible to analyze the impacts of toll variations and international business cycle fluctuations on cross-border bridge traffic between El Paso and Ciudad Juarez. Parameter estimation is carried out using a linear transfer function ARIMA methodology. Price elasticities of demand are similar to those reported for other regional economies, but out-ofsample forecasting results are mixed.

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