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Border Region Modeling Project

The Border Region Modeling Project compiles the Borderplex Business Barometer, a monthly report that summarizes recent trends in the regional economy. This report contains data and charts for a variety of variables. Each variable is graphed in two ways. The first chart provides a year-over-year comparison and the second shows somewhat longer-term trends over the course of the business cycle. The first set of charts covers the El Paso and Las Cruces economies while the charts that follow illustrate cross-border commercial dynamics and economic conditions in northern Mexico. Because the goal is to provide a snapshot of recent local economic performance, data published at a monthly frequency are primarily employed for the various Barometer diagrams.

Submissions from 2019 2019

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 3, Number 12, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton, Ana Gutierrez Zubiate, and Ignacio Santana

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 3, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Aaron Nazarian, Steven L. Fullerton, and Sergio Olivas

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 3, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Aaron Nazarian, Steven L. Fullerton, and Sergio Olivas

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 3, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Aaron Nazarian, Steven L. Fullerton, and Sergio Olivas

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 3, Number 5, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Aaron Nazarian, Steven L. Fullerton, and Sergio Olivas

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 3, Number 6, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton, and Ana Gutierrez Zubiate

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 3, Number 7, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton, Ana Gutierrez Zubiate, and Ignacio Santana

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 3, Number 8, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton, Ana Gutierrez Zubiate, and Ignacio Santana

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 3, Number 9, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton, Ana Gutierrez Zubiate, and Ignacio Santana

Borderplex Economic Outlook to 2020, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Aaron D. Nazarian, Omar Solís, and Steven L. Fullerton

Hotel Sector Forecast Accuracy in El Paso: 2006-2016, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 22, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Aaron Nazarian, Steven L. Fullerton, and Sergio Olivas

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 22, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton, and Ana Gutierrez Zubiate

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 22, Number3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton, and Ana Gutierrez Zubiate

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 22, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton, and Ana Gutierrez Zubiate

Southern Border International Shopping and Employment: 1990-2016, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

USMCA: Challenges & Opportunities, Luz Maria De la Mora

Submissions from 2018 2018

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 2, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Omar Solís, and Esmeralda Muñiz

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 2, Number 10, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Omar Solís, Esmeralda P. Muñiz, Aaron Nazarian, and Steven L. Fullerton

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 2, Number 11, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Omar Solís, Aaron Nazarian, and Steven L. Fullerton

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 2, Number 12, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Aaron Nazarian, Steven L. Fullerton, and Sergio Olivas

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 2, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Omar Solís, and Esmeralda P. Muñiz

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 2, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Omar Solís, and Esmeralda P. Muñiz

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 2, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Omar Solís, and Esmeralda Muñiz

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 2, Number 5, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Omar Solís, and Esmeralda P. Muñiz

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 2, Number 6, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Omar Solís, and Esmeralda P. Muñiz

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 2, Number 7, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Omar Solís, and Esmeralda P. Muñiz

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 2, Number 8, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Omar Solís, and Esmeralda P. Muñiz

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 2, Number 9, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Omar Solís, Esmeralda P. Muñiz, and Aaron Nazarian

Border Prospects for 2019 (NAFTA / ALCAN / USMCA), Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.

Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in El Paso: 1976-2015, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Infrastructure Impacts on Commercial Property Values Across El Paso in 2013, Arturo Bujanda and Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.

Material from the 13th Border Economic Forum, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, and Patrick Schaefer

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 21, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 21, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 21, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Esmeralda Muñiz

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 21, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Aaron Nazarian, Steven L. Fullerton, and Sergio Olivas

NAFTA at 24, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.

Submissions from 2017 2017

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 1, Number 10, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Omar Solís, and Patricia Arellano

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 1, Number 11, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Omar Solís, and Esmeralda P. Muñiz

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 1, Number12, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Omar Solís, and Esmeralda Muñiz

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 1, Number 5, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Ernesto Duarte Ronquillo, and Omar Solís

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 1, Number 6, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Ernesto Duarte Ronquillo, and Omar Solís

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 1, Number 7, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Ernesto Duarte Ronquillo, and Omar Solís

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 1, Number 8, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Ernesto Duarte Ronquillo, and Omar Solís

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 1, Number 9, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Omar Solís, and Patricia Arellano

Borderplex Business Barometer, Volume 1, Numbers 1 - 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke, Ernesto Duarte Ronquillo, and Omar Solís

Borderplex Economic Outlook to 2019, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Collegiate Football Attendance in El Paso: 1967-2014*, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Wesley A. Miller

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 20, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 20, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 20, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 20, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Southern Border Recession Predictability in the United States: 1990-2015, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Elías D. Saenz-Rojo, and Adam G. Walke

Submissions from 2016 2016

Borderplex Economic Outlook to 2018, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 19, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 19, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 19, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 19, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

North Borderplex Retail Gasoline Price Fluctuations: 2000-2013, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., A. A. Jiménez, and Adam G. Walke

Residential Electricity Demand in El Paso: 1977-2014, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., David R. Macias, and Adam G. Walke

Submissions from 2015 2015

Borderplex Economic Outlook to 2017, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.

Downtown Parking Meter Demand in El Paso, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., E. Pallarez, and Adam G. Walke

Drug Violence, the Peso, and Northern Border Retail Activity in Mexico, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 18, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 18, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 18, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 18, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Submissions from 2014 2014

Are Online Pharmacy Prices Really Lower in Mexico?, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Borderplex Economic Outlook to 2016, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Freight Transportation Costs and the Thickening of the U. S. - Mexico Border, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 17, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 17, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 17, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 17, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Submissions from 2013 2013

Borderplex Economic Outlook: 2013-2015, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 16, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 16, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 16, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 16, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Physical Infrastructure and Economic Growth in El Paso: 1976-2009, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Azucena González Monzón, and Adam G. Walke

Tolls, Exchange Rates, and Northbound International Bridge Traffic: 1990-2006, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Angel L. Molina Jr., and Adam G. Walke

Submissions from 2012 2012

Borderplex Economic Outlook: 2012-2014, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Borderplex Panel Evidence on Restaurant Price and Exchange Rate Dynamics, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and André Varella Mollick

Dinámica del Consumo de Gasolina en Ciudad Juárez: 2001 - 2009, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Gabriel Múnoz Sapien, Martha Patricia Barraza de Anda, and Lisbeily Domínguez Ruvalcaba

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 15, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 15, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 15, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 15, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr and Adam G. Walke

Submissions from 2011 2011

Borderplex Economic Outlook: 2011-2013, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Cross Border Business Cycle Impacts on El Paso Real Estate: 1970-2003, Gokce Kincal, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., James H. Holcomb, and Martha Patricia Barraza de Anda

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 14, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Teodulo Soto

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 14, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Carlos Morales, and Francisco Pallares

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 14, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 14, Number 4, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Adam G. Walke

Retail Peso Exchange Rate Discounts and Premia in El Paso, Raúl Muñoz, Michael J. Pisani, and Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.

Submissions from 2010 2010

Are Brand Name Medicine Prices Really Lower in Ciudad Juárez?, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Osvaldo Miranda

Border Metropolitan Water Forecast Accuracy, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Angel L. Molina Jr.

Borderplex Economic Outlook: 2010-2012, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Teodulo Soto

Borderplex Long-Term Economic Trends to 2029, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. and Angel L. Molina Jr.