Title
Short-term water consumption patterns in Ciudad Juárez, Mexico
Publication Date
12-1-2006
Publication Name
Atlantic Economic Journal
Volume
34
Issue
4
First Page
467
Last Page
479
Source Full Text URL
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11293-006-9031-0
Document Type
Article
DOI
10.1007/s11293-006-9031-0
Abstract
Water utility planning efforts are becoming increasingly difficult throughout the world. Located in a semi-arid region, Ciudad Juárez, Mexico is a fast growing municipality that faces both physical infrastructure and water supply constraints. This paper examines monthly water consumption in Ciudad Juárez utilizing a linear transfer function procedure (LTF). Analysis is carried out for per customer usage and for the total number of municipal water system accounts. Models estimated for both series are subjected to a series of simulation benchmark tests. Findings suggest that water consumption in Ciudad Juárez reacts quickly to changes in economic and weather conditions. Out-of-sample simulation results are mixed. Per customer usage forecasts do not fare as well those for total customers relative to random walk benchmarks. © International Atlantic Economic Society 2006.