Title
Cross-border homicide impacts on economic activity in El Paso
Publication Date
12-1-2015
Publication Name
Empirical Economics
Volume
49
Issue
4
First Page
1543
Last Page
1559
Source Full Text URL
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-015-0924-0
Document Type
Article
DOI
10.1007/s00181-015-0924-0
Abstract
© 2015, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg. Drug-related homicides in Ciudad Juárez drastically increased beginning in 2008. Few studies have been carried out which assess the economic impacts of crime and homicides. Furthermore, the existing literature generally lacks regional assessment efforts. Because of geographical proximity and close economic ties, this paper reviews some of the potential impacts the Ciudad Juárez homicides may have on the El Paso regional economy. A time series data approach is employed to quantify links between organized crime homicides in Ciudad Juárez and economic conditions in El Paso as measured by the metropolitan business cycle index and total nonagricultural employment. Findings indicate that fluctuations in the number of Ciudad Juárez homicides impact both variables in statistically significant manners at multiple time lags.