Increased Climate Variability Is More Visible Than Global Warming: A General System-Theory Explanation

Authors

Octavio Lerma, The University of Texas at El PasoFollow
Craig Tweedie, The University of Texas at El PasoFollow
Vladik Kreinovich, The University of Texas at El PasoFollow

Publication Date

7-2014

Comments

Technical Report: UTEP-CS-14-52

Published in Proceedings of the International Conference on Risk Analysis in Meteorological Disasters RAMD'2014, Nanjing, China, October 12-13, 2014

Abstract

While global warming is a statistically confirmed long-term phenomenon, its most visible consequence is not the warming itself but, somewhat surprisingly, the increased climate variability. In this paper, we use the general system theory ideas to explain why increased climate variability is more visible than the global warming itself.