Date of Award
Master of Arts
I hypothesize that an individual that has experienced a power transition, as measured by income, will be more likely to challenge the status quo than one that has not. The hypothesis is tested by relying on a mathematical probability model and is then corroborated through a qualitative analysis.
This analysis was accomplished by using a dataset that was collected in Québec during the time of the referendum; the final vote of each individual was contrasted with their relative income and dissatisfaction with the federation.
While income alone will not bring about a secessionist vote, the increase in the likelihood of such a vote can be contrasted across income levels to show the effects hypothesized. The result being that when we control for dissatisfaction at a middle point, those voters with low income will be less likely to vote for secession than those with a high income at the same level of dissatisfaction. Again, I find that at middle levels of dissatisfaction "income" has a decisive role in determining an individual's vote in the referendum.
Received from ProQuest
Villarreal, Sergio, "A Lingering Grudge in the Face of a Power Transition; the French Canadian Movement in Perspective" (2009). Open Access Theses & Dissertations. 2805.