Publication Date



Technical Report: UTEP-CS-20-59


Talents are rare. It is therefore important to detect and nurture future talents as early as possible. In many disciplines, this is already being done -- via gifted and talented programs, Olympiads, and other ways to select kids with unusually high achievements. However, the current approach is not perfect: some of the kids are selected simply because they are early bloomers, they do not grow into unusually successful researchers; on the other hand, many of those who later become very successful are not selected since they are late bloomers. To avoid these problems, we propose to use systems approach: to find the general formula for the students' growth rate, the formula that would predict the student's future achievements based on his current and previous achievement levels, and then to select students based on the formula's prediction of their future success.