Publication Date



Technical Report TX20-2

A revised version of this study is forthcoming in International Journal of Housing Markets & Analysis.

S.L. Fullerton, J.H. Holcomb, and T.M. Fullerton, Jr., 2020, Las Cruces Housing Price Fluctuations: 1971-2017, El Paso, TX: University of Texas at El Paso Border Region Modeling Project.


This study analyzes the median price for existing single-family housing units in Las Cruces, New Mexico. The proposed theoretical model accounts for the interplay between supply and demand sides of a metropolitan housing market. Explanatory variables used in the analysis are real per capita income, the housing stock, real mortgage rates, real apartment rents, and the median real price of single-family units in the United States. Annual frequency data are collected for a 1971-2017 sample period. Parameter estimation is completed using two stage generalized least squares. Empirical results confirm several, but not all, of the hypotheses associated with the underlying analytical model. In particular, Las Cruces housing prices are found to be most reliably correlated with local income and national housing prices.