Export vs. import – led growth in Mexico

Joseph Kababie, University of Texas at El Paso


This study concentrates on the role of imports and the impact they have for economic growth in the country of Mexico. The investigation is conducted in a time series framework using an ordinary least square method, a vector autoregressive model, and a vector error correction model to test the trade variables of exports and imports for exogenous or endogenous induced growth. The results indicate through Granger causality tests that imports are having the significant impact for economic growth. These findings are in some ways in contradiction to previous literature that has focused on exports as being the sole engine for economic growth. This article contributes to the growing literature of endogenous growth theory with its findings of import led growth for Mexico.

Subject Area


Recommended Citation

Kababie, Joseph, "Export vs. import – led growth in Mexico" (2010). ETD Collection for University of Texas, El Paso. AAI1483868.